Rainfall In India The India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicted heavy to very heavy rainfall in the areas of Northwest, Central, East and Northeast India during the next six days on June 28, 2025. The early warning software released by IMD headquarters in New Delhi at Mausam Bhawan, anticipates possible problems in even millions of residents, farmers, and local governments as the southwest monsoon sweats.
This long-range prediction, held between June 29 and July 4, 2025, had been announced as a press release by the IMD, directed by the Director General Dr. Mrutyunjay Mohapatra who has won the 2025 United Nations Sasakawa Award-2025 in Disaster Risk Reduction. According to the extended-range forecast issued by IMD on June 26-27 to July 10, 2025, this intense rainfall spell is likely to continue because of favorable monsoon pattern i.e. a cyclonic circulation over the Northwest Bay of Bengal with strengthening Monsoon flow. This is after an early start of the monsoon on May 24, 2025, the earliest since 2009, which has already moved across much of India and increased hopes of a good agricultural season, although floods and waterlogging are being feared.
Rainfall will be heavy across most parts of India, particularly in the northwest, centre, east and northeast. Moderate to heavy rainfall is likely over the states of Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Odisha and Assam. IMD predicts very heavy rainfall in some areas of Konkan, Goa, Maharashtra, and Gujarat and with the possibility of extremely heavy patches of rainfall in Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh, around 29–30 June 2025.
The IMD which is a key agency of the Ministry of Earth Sciences put forth this report to enable pro active measures by state governments, disaster management authorities and local communities. Heavy rain is a result of a mix of meteorological factors which include the progression of the southwest monsoon and a cyclonic circulation which in turn influences moisture flow from the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal. IMD’s aim is to reduce disruption and save lives and livelihoods which they do via the use of advanced satellite data and weather models to present accurate predictions. Dr. Naresh Kumar and Dr. Akhil Srivastava senior scientists at IMD are key points of contact for this info which we see put out in a very timely manner.
The monsoons activate the low-pressure systems built over the Bay of Bengal, which along with other weather systems and strong winds exceeding forty kilometers per hour are expected at the coastal areas. These factors are favorable towards moisture accumulation which results in torrential rains especially in state central plains as well as western coastal sates. As noted in the IMD forecast, additional rainfall is expected within three days, therefore this will act as an impetus for precipitation.
The forecast incorporates the IMD’s monitoring systems such as infrared satellite images and weather stations, which monitor rainfall and cloud cover with high accuracy. There is coordination between the regional centers of IMD, like the “Regional Meteorological Centre” at Mumbai, and other central bodies for issuing site-specific alerts. As an example, the IMD has warned people living in low-lying regions of Konkan, Goa and Gujarat about possible waterlogging and traffic jams while advising farmers to protect rain sensitive crops like rice and cotton.
This rainfall is a mixed blessing. In Madhya Maharashtra and Gujarat farmers’ primary hope is on the monsoon for their kharif crops which in June 2025 saw an 11% above normal rain at the time of sowing. But also we see the risk of flooding in cities like Mumbai, Surat and Panaji which also includes the risk of landslides in hill areas of Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh which requires strong preparation. The IMD’s early warnings are put forth to empower communities and authorities to at the same time mitigate risks and take in the agricultural benefits the monsoon brings.
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